Dinamo Zagreb vs HNK Sibenik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.8%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
81
1º
4º
1º
27
3º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2022 |
CHL
2 - 1
DZG
77%
16%
7%
|
84 | 92 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 0
DZG
37%
27%
36%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
0 - 4
ACM
25%
24%
51%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
HKS
1 - 1
DZG
46%
25%
29%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DZG
3 - 1
NKV
75%
16%
8%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
NKV
32%
27%
40%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
IST
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
JAP
1 - 2
HNS
14%
20%
66%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 2
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
LOK
1 - 1
HNS
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |