Denmark U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Denmark U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
TUR
2 - 0
DEN
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2009 |
MLT
0 - 1
DEN
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
FRA
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
SRB
1 - 0
DEN
49%
24%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
SRB
56%
22%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 1
SVK
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
AUT
1 - 0
ISL
55%
23%
21%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
ISL
0 - 2
DEN
20%
23%
57%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 4
NOR
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
CYP
2 - 0
ISL
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |