Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 0-5
Dinaburg vs Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinaburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
4 - 0
DIN
53%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
KAL
0 - 0
DIN
41%
25%
35%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
DIN
2 - 1
KAL
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2009 |
SKB
1 - 2
DIN
32%
27%
40%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2009 |
JFK
1 - 1
DIN
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Bnei Yehuda Tel Aviv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
4 - 0
DIN
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
BNE
3 - 0
SIM
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
SIM
0 - 1
BNE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
BSA
3 - 1
BNE
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BNE
0 - 0
IKS
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | -1 |