De Dijk vs Nieuwenhoorn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
77.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.6%
0-4
6.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.6%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
15º
16º
16º
51
1º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
70.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
8º
|
70.5% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 43 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 36 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
32.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
66% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
72% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Dijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZWA
0 - 1
DED
84%
11%
5%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
DED
0 - 3
GOE
7%
12%
81%
|
19 | 43 | 24 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ACH
3 - 2
DED
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DED
1 - 3
JOD
18%
20%
62%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 0
DED
86%
10%
5%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Nieuwenhoorn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NIE
4 - 3
ODI
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
WNC
1 - 3
NIE
25%
21%
54%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
ZWA
1 - 2
NIE
41%
22%
37%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
NIE
2 - 2
GOE
34%
23%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 2
NIE
45%
22%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |