De Dijk vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
De Dijk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
DED
1 - 2
MAG
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
DED
2 - 1
OOS
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
VOC
1 - 1
DED
38%
24%
38%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 4
DED
89%
9%
2%
|
40 | 82 | 42 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DED
2 - 5
GOE
60%
21%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
EIN
43%
26%
32%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 2
RJC
31%
25%
45%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
ACH
0 - 3
FOR
29%
25%
45%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 1
TEL
68%
20%
12%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
NEC
5 - 1
FOR
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |