Digenis Neochori vs Apollon Parga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.2%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
+5
8.5%
4-0
10.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
14.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
8.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.7%
3%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.5%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
9º
13º
12º
23
7º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
59 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
2º
|
71% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
71% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 40 |
6º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
57.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
8º
|
32.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 36 |
9º
|
75% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 26 |
10º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
93.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Digenis Neochori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
POF
0 - 0
DGN
68%
18%
14%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DGN
0 - 0
AEL
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
AEK
1 - 0
DGN
77%
15%
9%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
DGN
1 - 1
DST
39%
23%
38%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
DIO
0 - 2
DGN
62%
19%
19%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Parga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ASA
0 - 0
17%
19%
64%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TIL
1 - 0
ASA
86%
10%
3%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |