Digenis Morphou vs AEK Larnaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Digenis Morphou
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
PAF
1 - 0
DIG
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
DIG
3 - 0
OMO
10%
19%
71%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
ENO
1 - 1
DIG
70%
18%
12%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
APO
1 - 0
DIG
85%
11%
4%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
DIG
4 - 1
ONI
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
AEK Larnaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2004 |
AEK
3 - 1
ONI
87%
10%
4%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
APO
4 - 2
AEK
57%
22%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
AEK
4 - 3
ANO
24%
22%
54%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ETH
2 - 2
AEK
54%
23%
24%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
AEK
2 - 0
ANA
85%
10%
5%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |