Differdange 03 vs US Hostert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.9%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
12º
5º
18
12º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
VIC
58%
20%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
DIF
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 2
JEU
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
3 - 2
PRO
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
DIF
27%
24%
50%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
US Hostert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
USH
0 - 1
FOL
21%
21%
58%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 1
USH
51%
23%
27%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
USH
0 - 2
TPE
14%
22%
64%
|
48 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
UNA
2 - 0
USH
70%
18%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
4 - 1
USH
67%
18%
15%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |