Q. Europa League 3rd Round Final
Global 1-1
Differdange 03 vs Tromsø IL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
DIF
58%
22%
19%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 3
DIF
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
LAÇ
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIF
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
VIF
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
DIF
58%
22%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
ODD
3 - 1
TRO
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
TRO
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 0
SHA
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |