Q. Europa League 2nd Qualifying Round Final
Global 1-3
Differdange 03 vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
DIF
1 - 6
LEU
49%
24%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
DIF
66%
19%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
DIF
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2015 |
DIF
3 - 1
BAL
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
DIF
1 - 1
F91
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
DIF
66%
19%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
SIV
1 - 1
TRA
38%
27%
35%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 2
BAL
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
ESK
2 - 0
TRA
40%
27%
33%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2015 |
TRA
1 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |