Differdange 03 vs Marisca Mersch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
ULU
0 - 1
DIF
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
USH
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
DIF
1 - 0
VIC
58%
20%
21%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 0
DIF
50%
24%
26%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 2
JEU
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Marisca Mersch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
JEU
9 - 1
MAR
30%
23%
47%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
ALI
69%
19%
13%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
USM
37%
24%
40%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BWM
0 - 3
MAR
15%
20%
65%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
GRE
63%
20%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | +1 |