Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 1-0
Differdange 03 vs Levadia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2011 |
F91
0 - 1
DIF
64%
19%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
RAC
0 - 2
DIF
29%
24%
47%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
F91
3 - 4
DIF
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
DIF
3 - 0
SWI
72%
18%
11%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
WIL
2 - 1
DIF
20%
23%
57%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Levadia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
KUR
0 - 2
LEV
7%
16%
77%
|
77 | 43 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2011 |
AJA
1 - 4
LEV
9%
17%
74%
|
77 | 46 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
KAL
1 - 1
LEV
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
LEV
2 - 2
TAM
85%
11%
4%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |