Q. Europa League 1st Round Final
Global 3-1
Differdange 03 vs Laçi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.6%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
21.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIF
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
DIF
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
DIF
6 - 2
RAC
73%
17%
10%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
JEU
2 - 1
DIF
46%
24%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
LXC
2 - 1
DIF
30%
24%
46%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Laçi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIF
37%
25%
38%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
LAÇ
1 - 0
BYL
38%
25%
37%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
LAÇ
0 - 0
TIR
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
TEU
1 - 0
LAÇ
42%
27%
31%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
LAÇ
1 - 0
SHK
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |