Q. Europa League 2da Ronda Final
Global 2-4
Differdange 03 vs KAA Gent analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
NSI
0 - 3
DIF
24%
23%
52%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
DIF
3 - 0
NSI
68%
18%
15%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
DIF
1 - 2
JEU
55%
21%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SWI
0 - 3
DIF
16%
23%
61%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
DIF
6 - 1
RUM
85%
11%
4%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
KAA Gent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 1
CER
71%
17%
12%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2012 |
CER
1 - 5
GEN
32%
25%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
GEN
3 - 1
GNK
46%
23%
31%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
SDL
2 - 1
GEN
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
GEN
2 - 3
KVK
75%
16%
9%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |