Differdange 03 vs Etzella Ettelbruck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
4º
12º
5º
23
3º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
77 | 77 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
70 | 70 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
TPE
4 - 2
DIF
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 1
UNA
60%
21%
19%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
DIF
5 - 1
USM
71%
17%
12%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DIF
3 - 0
SED
64%
20%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
DIF
4%
9%
87%
|
68 | 19 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Etzella Ettelbruck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
FOL
17%
20%
63%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
1 - 2
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ETZ
0 - 4
F91
6%
11%
82%
|
51 | 73 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
UNA
4 - 1
ETZ
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ETZ
0 - 1
ULU
28%
27%
45%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |