Difaâ El Jadida vs Chabab Atlas Khenifra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.8%
17.9%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
4º
2º
36
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
70.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
70.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
27.5% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
57% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
57% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
27.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
70.5% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
24 | 24 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
70.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
29.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Difaâ El Jadida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROZ
1 - 1
DIF
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
4 - 2
MEK
45%
29%
27%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 1
DIF
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 0
STM
50%
28%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RAJ
0 - 1
DIF
16%
24%
61%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Chabab Atlas Khenifra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
2 - 2
USM
47%
27%
26%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ITM
1 - 1
CHA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MEK
0 - 1
CHA
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 0
ROZ
25%
28%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
ODC
0 - 2
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |