Diest vs SV Thor Genk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
DIE
3 - 1
DCM
47%
23%
31%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
EEA
1 - 2
DIE
67%
18%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
DIE
2 - 2
STR
46%
23%
30%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
UNI
1 - 0
DIE
68%
18%
14%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
DIE
0 - 1
SDL
18%
21%
61%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
SV Thor Genk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
THO
2 - 0
SDL
32%
25%
44%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
STR
4 - 1
THO
47%
23%
29%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
THO
1 - 1
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
EEA
2 - 0
THO
50%
22%
28%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
THO
1 - 1
ANT
43%
23%
34%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |