Diables Noirs vs Motema Pembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.7%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.7%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
21.8%
68.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
18.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.8%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Diables Noirs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
NPN
1 - 1
DIA
21%
25%
55%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 2
DIA
86%
11%
3%
|
43 | 73 | 30 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
AOD
2 - 2
DIA
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
DIA
0 - 1
ASE
11%
19%
71%
|
43 | 64 | 21 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
DIA
2 - 1
MOK
54%
25%
21%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Motema Pembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 2
ASE
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 1
MOT
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
RIV
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 0
DIA
87%
10%
3%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ASE
0 - 0
MOT
33%
28%
40%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |