Vimercatese vs Luciano Manara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
59.9%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vimercatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LIS
4 - 2
VIM
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
VIM
1 - 0
NOV
52%
22%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
VIM
0 - 0
BIA
34%
23%
43%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
COL
3 - 0
VIM
70%
17%
12%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
VIM
0 - 2
DOM
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Luciano Manara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
4 - 2
BIA
67%
18%
14%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
COL
1 - 1
LUC
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
LUC
1 - 0
ARC
60%
21%
20%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BRE
0 - 1
LUC
29%
23%
48%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2014 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAS
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |