Devonshire Cougars vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
25.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Cougars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 5
HOR
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ROB
1 - 4
DEV
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
WOL
3 - 3
DEV
47%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 1
PHC
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 3
DEV
54%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
SOM
4 - 2
WOL
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
STG
2 - 1
SOM
49%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SOM
1 - 4
HOR
53%
21%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ROB
0 - 2
SOM
50%
23%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 0
SOM
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |