Devonshire Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
47.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
XRW
2 - 1
DEV
60%
18%
22%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
SBR
0 - 4
DEV
63%
18%
19%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
DEV
4 - 2
STG
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
DEV
0 - 0
DEV
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DEV
2 - 3
SOU
19%
22%
60%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SOM
0 - 0
PHC
21%
22%
56%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 0
NOR
27%
22%
51%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 0
SBR
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
DEV
2 - 2
SOM
62%
20%
19%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 3
HOR
11%
16%
73%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |