Devonshire Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
59.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 1
DEV
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
FLA
3 - 1
DEV
71%
16%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DEV
0 - 5
SOM
45%
22%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -8 |
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 0
DEV
61%
18%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
DEV
2 - 1
DEV
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ROB
2 - 0
SOM
77%
15%
9%
|
33 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2020 |
BOU
0 - 0
SOM
24%
20%
55%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
XRW
0 - 1
SOM
56%
19%
25%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SOM
0 - 1
SOU
57%
21%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NOR
3 - 0
SOM
65%
18%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |