Devonshire Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
33.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
HOR
4 - 0
DEV
61%
18%
21%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
DEV
2 - 1
DEV
52%
20%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
DEV
0 - 6
ROB
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DEV
1 - 2
PHC
43%
22%
35%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
4 - 1
DEV
50%
20%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SOM
0 - 3
ROB
50%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
BOU
2 - 2
SOM
54%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 0
NOR
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SOM
2 - 1
SBR
48%
22%
31%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
HOR
3 - 0
SOM
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |