Devonshire Colts vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
37.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
DEV
63%
20%
18%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PHC
2 - 1
DEV
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DEV
0 - 1
BOU
39%
25%
36%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SOU
3 - 2
DEV
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
DEV
0 - 2
HOR
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
HAM
1 - 1
SOM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
SOM
3 - 0
HOR
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
DEV
1 - 3
SOM
38%
25%
38%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
NOR
6 - 1
SOM
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
SOM
1 - 1
IRE
47%
24%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |