Devonshire Colts vs Somerset Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 3
PHC
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
DEV
0 - 3
BOU
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
NOR
4 - 2
DEV
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
DEV
2 - 3
DEV
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
6 - 1
DEV
51%
23%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
NOR
3 - 0
SOM
58%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
STD
2 - 1
SOM
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
2 - 2
PHC
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
2 - 2
STG
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
SOM
6 - 1
DEV
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |