Devonshire Colts vs PHC Zebras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.3%
50.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+55%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
2º
6º
6º
33
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonshire Colts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 3
DEV
51%
20%
28%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 1
HOR
37%
21%
41%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 3
DEV
65%
18%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
4 - 1
HAM
28%
21%
51%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +2 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
DEV
1 - 2
ROB
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DEV
0 - 2
PHC
45%
22%
34%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PHC
1 - 0
HAM
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PHC
11 - 2
WOL
61%
18%
21%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 4
PHC
41%
21%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 3
PHC
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |