Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.4%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
13%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7.5%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
39
3º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 2
DEV
23%
22%
55%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
ROF
1 - 5
DEV
3%
9%
88%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 0
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
45 | 17 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
6 - 1
LUS
92%
6%
2%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 1
CZF
91%
7%
2%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
KIN
0 - 1
GLE
42%
22%
37%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
4 - 3
KIN
12%
17%
71%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
CZF
3 - 6
KIN
7%
12%
81%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ROF
1 - 5
KIN
4%
10%
86%
|
27 | 8 | 19 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SOU
2 - 1
KIN
67%
17%
16%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |