Devonport City vs Kingborough Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.8%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
DEV
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 2
SOU
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
DEV
19%
22%
60%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
DEV
7 - 1
LAU
86%
10%
4%
|
38 | 11 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 1
DEV
33%
24%
44%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Kingborough Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 3
HOB
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
1 - 1
NOR
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
6 - 1
KIN
83%
12%
6%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
3 - 1
GLE
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
LAU
0 - 4
KIN
30%
24%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |