Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.1%
10.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-36%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
4º
1º
40
2º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 29 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 13 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
2 | 2 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
KIN
0 - 1
DEV
10%
15%
75%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 3
SOU
71%
18%
12%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
DEV
2 - 0
ROF
92%
6%
2%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 8
DEV
6%
12%
82%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
DEV
4 - 0
LUS
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
CZF
2 - 4
GLE
11%
14%
75%
|
30 | 17 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2023 |
GLE
4 - 0
KIN
55%
21%
24%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2023 |
SOU
4 - 3
GLE
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
ROF
1 - 6
GLE
4%
9%
86%
|
29 | 7 | 22 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 0
LAU
76%
15%
9%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |