Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.9%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.7%
4-0
9.6%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9%
4.1%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
LAU
2 - 3
DEV
11%
16%
73%
|
24 | 10 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 2
OLY
47%
22%
32%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
TIZ
4 - 0
DEV
73%
16%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
DEV
8 - 1
KIN
81%
12%
7%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
DEV
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 4
KIN
52%
21%
28%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NOR
3 - 1
GLE
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
GLE
0 - 5
SOU
8%
14%
78%
|
15 | 44 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
TIZ
5 - 2
GLE
85%
11%
5%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
GLE
4 - 1
LAU
73%
15%
12%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |