Devonport City vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.4%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
9.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
LAU
3 - 7
DEV
8%
15%
77%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
DEV
1 - 2
OLY
63%
19%
18%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
TIZ
2 - 0
DEV
52%
22%
26%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
DEV
4 - 0
KIN
80%
13%
8%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
3 - 4
DEV
20%
21%
59%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 4
KIN
39%
23%
38%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 1
GLE
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
GLE
1 - 8
SOU
10%
16%
74%
|
17 | 43 | 26 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
HOB
3 - 0
GLE
84%
11%
6%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 2
LAU
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |