Devnya vs Svilengrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devnya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
ASV
2 - 0
DEV
48%
25%
26%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
DEV
2 - 0
OFK
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2002 |
DUN
2 - 1
DEV
45%
27%
29%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
DEV
0 - 1
BOT
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
FKM
1 - 1
DEV
50%
25%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Svilengrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
SVI
2 - 0
BEL
31%
25%
44%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2002 |
DOB
4 - 2
SVI
82%
13%
5%
|
44 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2002 |
SVI
2 - 1
ASV
27%
25%
48%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2002 |
OFK
1 - 0
SVI
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
DUN
4 - 0
SVI
59%
24%
18%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |