Deveronvale vs Peterhead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
38.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
1 - 4
DEV
12%
17%
71%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GRE
5 - 1
DEV
70%
18%
12%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
DEV
4 - 0
BER
24%
23%
54%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | +4 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
DEV
1 - 3
STI
29%
23%
49%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ROS
4 - 1
DEV
78%
14%
8%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Peterhead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
PET
36%
25%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ELG
2 - 0
PET
50%
22%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
PET
2 - 0
MON
65%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PET
1 - 0
QUE
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
CLY
0 - 2
PET
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |