Deveronvale vs Keith analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
50%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
10º
17º
17º
27
10º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 90 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
86 | 86 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
77 | 80 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
71 | 74 |
4º
|
94.5% | |
|
5º
|
68 | 71 |
5º
|
94.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 63 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 46 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
59.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
67.5% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
48.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 35 |
12º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 34 |
13º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
14º
|
25% | |
|
|
14º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
58.5% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 26 |
16º
|
42% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
80.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
TUR
5 - 1
DEV
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
DEV
2 - 4
EAS
7%
13%
81%
|
23 | 53 | 30 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRO
5 - 0
DEV
90%
8%
2%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HUN
1 - 0
DEV
57%
21%
23%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
DEV
0 - 3
INV
12%
17%
72%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Keith
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 2
CUM
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KEI
1 - 0
FOR
10%
16%
74%
|
24 | 47 | 23 | +4 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 2
KEI
76%
15%
10%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
KEI
2 - 3
ROT
12%
17%
72%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAN
8 - 0
KEI
87%
9%
4%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |