Deveronvale vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
41%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
6º
15º
11º
46
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
82 | 82 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
58 | 58 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
55 | 55 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 40 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
17 | 17 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 11 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
DEV
0 - 3
BRE
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
BRO
5 - 0
DEV
86%
10%
4%
|
29 | 60 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
DEV
1 - 3
FRA
7%
14%
80%
|
29 | 59 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2025 |
INV
6 - 1
DEV
74%
15%
11%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
DEV
2 - 1
TUR
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
FOR
1 - 1
FOR
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
WIC
3 - 1
FOR
24%
21%
55%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 2025 |
ROT
2 - 3
FOR
18%
19%
64%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
BAN
2 - 3
FOR
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
FRA
3 - 1
FOR
87%
10%
4%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |