Deveronvale vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
16º
16º
30
4º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
78 | 78 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 72 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
72 | 72 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
59 | 59 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
54 | 54 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
53 | 53 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
23 | 23 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 10 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FRA
3 - 2
DEV
91%
7%
2%
|
21 | 51 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
DEV
0 - 1
TUR
26%
21%
53%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
CLA
2 - 2
DEV
73%
15%
12%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
WIC
2 - 2
DEV
40%
22%
38%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
DEV
1 - 0
KEI
46%
22%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
KEI
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
3 - 1
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
30 | 55 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
LOS
0 - 3
FOR
22%
20%
58%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
STR
86%
9%
4%
|
28 | 13 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2023 |
ELG
1 - 3
FOR
74%
16%
11%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | 0 |