Deva Boys vs Jong Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
29.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deva Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MOE
4 - 2
DEV
69%
17%
15%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
BIN
4 - 0
DEV
82%
12%
7%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 1
HAP
11%
16%
73%
|
20 | 40 | 20 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 2
FLA
35%
22%
44%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
DEV
1 - 2
TAH
59%
19%
22%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
JUN
9 - 0
AUR
88%
9%
4%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 3
SLE
33%
22%
45%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2018 |
HAP
5 - 0
AUR
85%
11%
5%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MOE
2 - 0
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 5
BIN
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | -1 |