Deva Boys vs Jong Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
13.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deva Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SFC
3 - 0
DEV
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 3
VOO
37%
23%
40%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 7
DEV
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 3
VOO
43%
22%
35%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
PVV
0 - 8
DEV
12%
17%
71%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Jong Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
AUR
1 - 2
BFC
18%
19%
63%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |