Deva Boys vs Santos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deva Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
DEV
3 - 0
CAR
58%
21%
22%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PAP
2 - 3
DEV
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2015 |
DEV
1 - 0
BOM
45%
22%
33%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ACO
2 - 3
DEV
39%
22%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
SNL
3 - 4
DEV
66%
17%
17%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Santos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
SFC
0 - 0
AFC
49%
21%
30%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
WUN
4 - 2
SFC
61%
19%
20%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
SFC
2 - 3
ACO
34%
21%
45%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
PVV
3 - 1
SFC
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CAR
3 - 0
SFC
69%
17%
14%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |