Deux vs Movera A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
21%
43.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
GAR
3 - 2
DEU
66%
17%
17%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
DEU
4 - 6
LJF
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
AST
2 - 2
DEU
45%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DEU
6 - 4
HIS
38%
21%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
VED
2 - 0
DEU
80%
13%
8%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Movera A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MOV
3 - 2
RIH
45%
23%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MOV
0 - 0
EDE
49%
21%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAR
3 - 1
MOV
39%
23%
38%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
MOV
1 - 1
LJF
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
AST
0 - 1
MOV
36%
21%
44%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | +1 |