Deusto vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
53.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SES
5 - 2
DEU
63%
21%
17%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
DEU
1 - 0
BEA
45%
27%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 1
DEU
38%
24%
37%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
DEU
3 - 1
AUR
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
IKE
0 - 2
DEU
19%
20%
61%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
GER
0 - 0
BEA
66%
20%
13%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BFC
0 - 0
GER
19%
22%
59%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
GER
3 - 1
AUR
76%
16%
8%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
IKE
0 - 5
GER
9%
16%
76%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
GER
2 - 0
JUV
65%
20%
15%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |