Detroit City vs AFC Ann Arbor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Detroit City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 1
DET
19%
23%
58%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
DET
8 - 0
IND
94%
5%
1%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
IND
0 - 11
DET
4%
11%
85%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
DET
1 - 0
COL
76%
16%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2018 |
CIN
4 - 1
DET
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
AFC Ann Arbor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
1 - 1
MIT
79%
13%
8%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
AAA
25%
21%
54%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2018 |
AAA
2 - 0
GRF
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
KAL
0 - 0
AAA
35%
22%
43%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
IND
0 - 6
AAA
4%
10%
86%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | 0 |