DESK vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
55.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
DES
5 - 2
VEN
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
OJC
4 - 0
DES
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 2
DIJ
36%
24%
41%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DES
0 - 0
EHC
27%
23%
50%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
BAR
2 - 3
DES
74%
16%
10%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | +2 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
EHC
1 - 3
GEM
39%
25%
36%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
GEM
1 - 0
BAR
58%
22%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NUE
2 - 2
GEM
32%
25%
43%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
GEM
2 - 1
MEE
71%
18%
12%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
BLA
1 - 1
GEM
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |