Des Moines Menace vs Union Omaha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
57.3%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
SPK
1 - 2
DES
39%
23%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
5 - 5
DES
28%
24%
48%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
MIB
69%
18%
13%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DES
5 - 0
CDL
82%
11%
6%
|
58 | 11 | 47 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
PEO
2 - 2
DES
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
TOR
1 - 3
OMA
16%
22%
63%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
FLA
1 - 2
OMA
3%
8%
89%
|
73 | 35 | 38 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2025 |
GTR
3 - 0
OMA
19%
24%
56%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2025 |
TUL
4 - 4
OMA
16%
20%
64%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
COL
2 - 2
OMA
33%
24%
43%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |