Des Moines Menace vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
DES
0 - 1
SPR
80%
13%
7%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
KCB
1 - 5
DES
31%
24%
45%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2013 |
WSA
1 - 4
DES
13%
19%
68%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2013 |
KCW
2 - 0
DES
83%
14%
4%
|
46 | 81 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
STL
79%
14%
7%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
THU
2 - 0
DES
65%
20%
15%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2013 |
WSA
1 - 2
THU
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
WSA
1 - 2
THU
13%
20%
67%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
THU
0 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |