Des Moines Menace vs Thunder Bay Chill analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
DES
0 - 3
THU
39%
25%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
DES
2 - 3
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
KCB
1 - 2
DES
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2008 |
DES
1 - 0
KCB
67%
19%
14%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
DES
0 - 0
STL
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Thunder Bay Chill
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
DES
0 - 3
THU
39%
25%
37%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2008 |
SPR
0 - 3
THU
12%
20%
68%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2008 |
KCB
0 - 2
THU
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2008 |
STL
2 - 3
THU
27%
24%
49%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
STL
1 - 2
THU
29%
25%
47%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |