Des Moines Menace vs Rochester Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines Menace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2010 |
SPR
1 - 3
DES
14%
21%
65%
|
52 | 22 | 30 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 0
DES
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
REA
1 - 2
DES
34%
25%
40%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
DES
3 - 0
STL
66%
19%
15%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
KCB
2 - 3
DES
21%
24%
55%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Rochester Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
REA
1 - 1
ROC
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2010 |
REA
0 - 3
ROC
57%
23%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +3 |
| 17 Jul. 2009 |
THU
1 - 1
ROC
71%
18%
11%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
THU
3 - 0
ROC
69%
19%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
ROC
1 - 2
DES
32%
25%
43%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |