Deruta vs Voluntas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
29.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
SSD
0 - 1
DER
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
DER
2 - 3
PON
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FLA
0 - 1
DER
48%
26%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
DER
1 - 0
ORV
49%
26%
25%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
1 - 0
DER
41%
25%
34%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Voluntas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
ACS
1 - 1
VOL
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VOL
0 - 0
SSD
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 1
VOL
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
VOL
1 - 4
FLA
55%
23%
22%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
PIE
0 - 3
VOL
42%
24%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +2 |