AS Deruta vs Scandicci analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
DER
2 - 0
FOR
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
GAV
4 - 1
DER
60%
22%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
MON
0 - 1
DER
60%
24%
16%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
DER
1 - 1
MPO
54%
23%
23%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ASL
2 - 0
DER
78%
15%
7%
|
34 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Scandicci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
SCA
3 - 2
MON
24%
26%
51%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
MPO
3 - 0
SCA
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
SGP
1 - 2
SCA
26%
25%
49%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
SCA
1 - 3
ASL
19%
27%
54%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
ORV
1 - 0
SCA
34%
25%
42%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | -1 |