Deruta vs Montevarchi Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deruta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
FOR
1 - 1
DER
35%
26%
39%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
DER
2 - 4
VOL
40%
26%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
CAS
4 - 0
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
DER
1 - 2
PIA
35%
25%
40%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
TOD
2 - 0
DER
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Montevarchi Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
ORV
60%
24%
17%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2010 |
MON
0 - 3
ASS
58%
24%
18%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
PRG
4 - 1
MON
70%
20%
10%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
VOL
4 - 0
MON
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |